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Red220
93560.4
147796.1
596033.8
Blue140
19279.1
429823.6
577128.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147124050100200250300350220140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.15.5
69.374.9
Auto7.6
Teleop35.6
End52.8
red by 17.0
192
#15
79.12.1
74.376.4
Auto5.6
Teleop33.7
End39.9
Second
935
#11
60.45.5
33.038.5
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End33.0
red by 31.5
5771
#39
28.91.9
26.928.8
Auto3.8
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Third
5960
#30
33.85.9
34.240.1
Auto2.2
Teleop22.5
End9.0
red by 10.2
4298
#40
23.61.9
20.122.0
Auto1.9
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed