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Red100
469666.2
531228.0
436425.5
Blue235
384775.9
541143.1
246868.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127185050100150250300350100235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4696
#10
66.22.6
65.162.6
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End39.3
blue by 9.7
75.93.6
65.268.8
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End30.7
Second
5312
#44
28.02.6
34.231.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.1
End-1.4
blue by 40.7
2468
#17
68.73.3
69.973.2
Auto11.1
Teleop34.7
End22.9
Third
4364
#45
25.52.6
29.627.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End4.5
blue by 17.5
43.13.3
32.635.9
Auto5.2
Teleop32.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed