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Red185
234172.3
216479.0
586652.2
Blue215
473415.8
384775.9
147796.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081760100300400185215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#24
79.00.6
69.068.4
Auto7.3
Teleop43.6
End28.1
blue by 17.2
96.12.7
89.692.4
Auto7.6
Teleop35.6
End52.8
Second
2341
#38
72.30.6
71.070.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.4
End32.6
blue by 3.6
75.93.0
68.871.8
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End30.7
Third
5866
#12
52.20.6
52.952.2
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End26.1
red by 36.3
4734
#36
15.82.7
13.115.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End-3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed