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Red250
384775.9
147796.1
15954.3
Blue217
62474.5
118107.1
555056.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312530100200300400500600700250217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.10.6
94.895.3
Auto7.6
Teleop35.6
End52.8
blue by 11.0
118
#3
107.10.5
106.6106.1
Auto19.9
Teleop50.3
End36.9
Second
75.90.6
74.475.0
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End30.7
red by 1.4
624
#16
74.50.5
74.073.5
Auto12.1
Teleop35.2
End27.2
Third
159
#18
54.30.6
52.953.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.4
End24.4
blue by 2.2
5550
#27
56.50.5
56.055.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End20.3