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Red255
419275.0
543192.7
276577.6
Blue255
261361.2
636987.2
272358.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652270100200300400500600255255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.7
Auto14.5
Teleop47.9
End30.3
red by 5.5
87.2
Auto5.4
Teleop43.4
End38.4
Second
77.6
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
red by 16.4
61.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.7
End24.2
Third
4192
#13
75.0
Auto6.3
Teleop42.1
End26.6
red by 16.3
2723
#19
58.7
Auto6.4
Teleop33.3
End19.1