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Red215
276577.6
129694.0
636987.2
Blue135
174554.5
617187.9
280560.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912260400600800215135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.03.6
99.295.6
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
red by 6.1
87.95.9
92.887.0
Auto11.9
Teleop49.3
End26.7
Second
87.23.6
91.387.7
Auto5.4
Teleop43.4
End38.4
red by 26.9
2805
#21
60.45.9
66.160.2
Auto4.4
Teleop28.9
End27.0
Third
77.63.6
78.274.6
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
red by 23.0
1745
#22
54.55.9
63.958.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed