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Red205
174554.5
261361.2
420686.3
Blue215
215856.6
1296B46.6
129694.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232234180200220240260205215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#20
86.31.0
100.299.1
Auto11.7
Teleop46.9
End27.7
blue by 7.6
94.01.1
97.296.1
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
Second
61.21.0
59.258.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.7
End24.2
red by 4.6
2158
#15
56.61.1
69.067.9
Auto4.9
Teleop28.6
End23.0
Third
1745
#22
54.51.0
61.059.9
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
red by 7.9
1296B
Unranked
46.61.9
55.653.7
Auto9.2
Teleop25.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed22%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed