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Red185
272358.7
300593.9
399983.7
Blue285
632160.7
636987.2
261361.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27922504006008001,0001,2001,400185285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.94.9
101.796.8
Auto18.2
Teleop42.6
End33.1
red by 6.7
87.24.3
90.194.4
Auto5.4
Teleop43.4
End38.4
Second
83.74.9
90.986.0
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End31.0
red by 22.5
61.24.3
58.262.4
Auto6.4
Teleop30.7
End24.2
Third
2723
#19
58.74.9
65.760.8
Auto6.4
Teleop33.3
End19.1
blue by 1.9
6321
#11
60.74.3
72.776.9
Auto8.4
Teleop26.9
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed