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Red205
419275.0
543192.7
272358.7
Blue160
541792.3
420686.3
276577.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28531702004006008001,0001,2001,400205160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.74.6
100.996.2
Auto14.5
Teleop47.9
End30.3
red by 0.4
5417
#14
92.39.1
95.085.8
Auto7.7
Teleop43.8
End40.8
Second
4192
#13
75.04.6
93.388.7
Auto6.3
Teleop42.1
End26.6
blue by 11.3
4206
#20
86.39.1
116.9107.7
Auto11.7
Teleop46.9
End27.7
Third
2723
#19
58.74.6
80.475.8
Auto6.4
Teleop33.3
End19.1
blue by 18.8
77.613.2
85.372.1
Auto11.8
Teleop35.3
End30.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed