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Red315
5431108.4
3997113.7
45786.5
Blue318
373598.6
4587108.9
118124.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34738602006008001,0001,200315318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.70.1
114.0113.9
Auto9.8
Teleop53.1
End50.7
blue by 10.7
118
#9
124.40.4
127.0126.6
Auto22.1
Teleop52.3
End50.0
Second
108.40.1
108.7108.6
Auto12.8
Teleop56.4
End39.3
blue by 0.5
4587
#21
108.90.4
111.4111.0
Auto10.0
Teleop49.7
End49.1
Third
457
#11
86.50.1
86.686.5
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End46.3
blue by 12.1
3735
#10
98.60.4
99.799.2
Auto12.1
Teleop45.8
End40.7