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Red305
45786.5
541485.2
3005112.3
Blue285
1296123.2
399987.9
44199.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873380100200400500600700800305285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
112.31.7
112.9114.6
Auto13.6
Teleop42.1
End56.6
blue by 10.9
1296
#14
123.22.0
129.5127.5
Auto12.3
Teleop57.9
End53.0
Second
457
#11
86.51.7
84.085.7
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End46.3
blue by 12.7
441
#26
99.22.0
96.694.6
Auto5.9
Teleop36.6
End56.6
Third
5414
#19
85.21.7
82.684.3
Auto8.0
Teleop38.4
End38.8
blue by 2.7
3999
#16
87.92.0
88.786.7
Auto7.1
Teleop39.2
End41.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed31%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed