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Red300
399173.9
590880.4
3735114.6
Blue294
62492.8
347897.0
118105.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603270100200400500600300294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.62.6
107.2109.8
Auto13.8
Teleop54.4
End46.5
red by 9.6
118
#4
105.01.2
101.8100.5
Auto23.2
Teleop51.8
End30.0
Second
5908
#12
80.42.6
73.476.0
Auto8.1
Teleop35.4
End36.9
blue by 16.6
97.01.2
101.7100.5
Auto12.8
Teleop54.3
End29.9
Third
3991
#18
73.92.6
75.377.9
Auto8.4
Teleop42.2
End23.2
blue by 19.0
624
#28
92.81.2
99.298.0
Auto10.8
Teleop47.8
End34.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed98%Pressure oddsEarned