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Red272
6547101.3
258753.2
347897.0
Blue267
62492.8
246879.5
384785.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267270180200220240260280300320272267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.31.2
100.8102.0
Auto12.5
Teleop45.8
End43.0
red by 8.4
624
#28
92.80.7
98.098.7
Auto10.8
Teleop47.8
End34.2
Second
97.01.2
100.5101.7
Auto12.8
Teleop54.3
End29.9
red by 11.4
3847
#23
85.60.7
82.182.8
Auto18.2
Teleop38.6
End28.8
Third
2587
#19
53.21.2
52.954.1
Auto5.8
Teleop36.4
End11.1
blue by 26.3
2468
#31
79.50.7
75.976.6
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End26.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed9%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
21%Pressure oddsEarned3%Pressure oddsMissed