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Red140
1477B22.4
432875.8
399173.9
Blue380
463973.7
3478B62.3
148127.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1632660100200300400500600140380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.81.9
73.171.2
Auto9.5
Teleop33.5
End32.8
blue by 52.0
148
#1
127.74.3
117.7122.0
Auto18.4
Teleop64.5
End44.8
Second
3991
#18
73.91.9
77.976.0
Auto8.4
Teleop42.2
End23.2
red by 0.1
4639
#21
73.74.3
69.373.6
Auto8.0
Teleop37.6
End28.2
Third
22.43.1
17.314.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End1.4
blue by 39.9
62.37.2
53.160.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed9%Pressure oddsMissed