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Red285
541482.4
582965.9
310397.2
Blue205
542797.1
399173.9
6547101.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333040100200400500285205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#10
97.23.6
88.692.3
Auto7.4
Teleop39.4
End50.5
blue by 4.1
101.35.0
102.097.0
Auto12.5
Teleop45.8
End43.0
Second
5414
#16
82.43.6
80.784.3
Auto6.9
Teleop40.1
End35.4
blue by 14.7
5427
#17
97.15.0
102.197.1
Auto12.9
Teleop47.2
End37.0
Third
5829
#30
65.93.6
61.164.7
Auto3.8
Teleop32.9
End29.3
blue by 7.9
3991
#18
73.95.0
76.071.0
Auto8.4
Teleop42.2
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed