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Red191
592344.7
3478B62.3
384785.6
Blue190
590880.4
5892108.0
541482.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1743150100400500600191190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#23
85.60.5
82.883.4
Auto18.2
Teleop38.6
End28.8
blue by 22.4
108.06.1
112.8106.7
Auto10.0
Teleop41.8
End56.2
Second
62.38.6
62.353.7
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End24.2
blue by 20.1
5414
#16
82.46.1
85.279.1
Auto6.9
Teleop40.1
End35.4
Third
5923
#24
44.70.6
47.347.9
Auto6.4
Teleop32.0
End6.3
blue by 35.7
5908
#12
80.46.1
83.577.4
Auto8.1
Teleop35.4
End36.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
12%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed