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Red265
399988.5
461080.7
456107.6
Blue242
5431100.9
384782.8
4587107.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612890100200400500600265242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#10
107.60.9
103.9104.7
Auto13.9
Teleop40.5
End53.1
red by 0.3
107.32.3
103.1100.8
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
Second
88.50.9
78.879.7
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End40.0
blue by 12.4
100.92.3
95.092.7
Auto15.6
Teleop53.3
End32.0
Third
80.70.9
69.370.2
Auto11.8
Teleop25.2
End43.7
blue by 2.1
3847
#15
82.82.3
73.471.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.7
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed