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Red190
399988.5
632163.5
215866.5
Blue255
1296100.0
461080.7
246895.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2032760100300400500190255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.50.8
79.778.9
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End40.0
blue by 11.5
100.00.1
92.092.1
Auto12.7
Teleop49.3
End37.9
Second
2158
#18
66.50.8
67.766.9
Auto4.6
Teleop27.8
End34.0
blue by 28.6
95.00.1
91.291.3
Auto13.2
Teleop45.7
End36.2
Third
6321
#21
63.50.8
54.954.1
Auto6.3
Teleop30.7
End26.5
blue by 17.2
80.70.1
70.270.3
Auto11.8
Teleop25.2
End43.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed