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Red220
348184.2
4587107.3
505263.7
Blue255
288185.1
5431100.9
637789.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492790100200400500600220255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.31.4
100.899.4
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
red by 6.4
100.90.4
92.792.3
Auto15.6
Teleop53.3
End32.0
Second
3481
#14
84.21.4
81.980.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.6
End35.6
blue by 4.8
6377
#12
89.00.4
89.589.1
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End41.1
Third
5052
#23
63.71.4
58.256.8
Auto9.5
Teleop31.4
End22.8
blue by 21.5
85.10.4
79.378.9
Auto9.0
Teleop35.3
End40.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed