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Red310
590871.3
406389.6
231119.4
Blue255
557285.0
4206104.9
596063.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297259150200350400450500310255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#20
119.40.7
119.1119.8
Auto15.7
Teleop52.9
End50.8
red by 14.5
104.90.0
103.9103.9
Auto13.0
Teleop50.4
End41.5
Second
89.60.7
88.088.7
Auto12.3
Teleop39.7
End37.5
red by 4.6
85.00.0
83.983.9
Auto9.7
Teleop35.1
End40.2
Third
5908
#21
71.30.7
69.770.4
Auto6.6
Teleop34.3
End30.4
red by 7.4
5960
#18
63.90.0
62.862.8
Auto5.1
Teleop35.8
End23.0