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Red168
631536.3
231119.4
334558.3
Blue155
65342.0
384787.2
550338.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196192100150250300168155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#20
119.40.8
94.693.7
Auto15.7
Teleop52.9
End50.8
red by 32.2
3847
#17
87.22.2
99.096.8
Auto11.0
Teleop38.2
End38.0
Second
3345
#10
58.31.4
45.844.4
Auto8.7
Teleop20.8
End28.8
red by 16.3
653
#44
42.03.7
36.733.0
Auto4.2
Teleop26.8
End11.1
Third
6315
#46
36.31.4
40.238.8
Auto1.7
Teleop20.7
End13.9
blue by 1.9
5503
#28
38.23.7
52.548.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed