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Red300
568170.9
231119.4
632157.3
Blue216
348190.1
666458.3
356142.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187188100150200250300300216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#20
119.48.0
93.4101.4
Auto15.7
Teleop52.9
End50.8
red by 29.3
3481
#23
90.12.7
83.686.3
Auto10.4
Teleop40.5
End39.2
Second
5681
#29
70.913.3
42.455.6
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End32.3
red by 12.5
6664
#14
58.34.5
50.955.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.0
End14.9
Third
6321
#26
57.38.0
44.852.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.5
End26.0
red by 14.4
3561
#37
42.94.5
40.945.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed