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Red280
461056.3
231119.4
473462.4
Blue195
598181.6
596063.9
334558.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812350100150200250280195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#20
119.410.1
82.392.4
Auto15.7
Teleop52.9
End50.8
red by 37.8
5981
#16
81.68.5
45.654.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End38.3
Second
62.411.2
15.827.0
Auto5.5
Teleop25.1
End31.9
blue by 1.5
5960
#18
63.96.2
33.840.0
Auto5.1
Teleop35.8
End23.0
Third
4610
#12
56.315.6
31.046.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.7
End31.9
blue by 2.0
3345
#10
58.38.5
39.547.9
Auto8.7
Teleop20.8
End28.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed