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Red165
367944.6
356142.9
598181.6
Blue210
598678.5
219063.4
673358.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1751950100300400500165210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5981
#16
81.60.3
73.072.8
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End38.3
red by 3.2
5986
#15
78.51.5
68.369.7
Auto8.8
Teleop41.9
End27.8
Second
3679
#32
44.60.4
48.247.8
Auto4.0
Teleop23.1
End17.5
blue by 18.8
2190
#33
63.42.3
63.866.1
Auto8.1
Teleop33.5
End21.9
Third
3561
#37
42.90.4
47.647.2
Auto7.4
Teleop23.8
End11.7
blue by 15.8
6733
#25
58.72.3
50.853.1
Auto9.4
Teleop35.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed