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Red255
437849.8
333593.8
590871.3
Blue145
219063.4
65342.0
618032.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2051380100300400255145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#13
93.84.6
85.790.3
Auto10.7
Teleop44.6
End38.6
red by 30.4
2190
#33
63.40.0
66.166.0
Auto8.1
Teleop33.5
End21.9
Second
5908
#21
71.34.6
56.461.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.3
End30.4
red by 29.3
653
#44
42.00.0
38.438.4
Auto4.2
Teleop26.8
End11.1
Third
4378
#39
49.87.1
44.151.3
Auto7.1
Teleop31.7
End11.0
red by 17.7
6180
#47
32.10.0
35.935.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed