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Red200
302937.2
219063.4
384787.2
Blue245
303586.6
473462.4
575460.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198204150250300200245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#17
87.21.9
88.386.4
Auto11.0
Teleop38.2
End38.0
red by 0.5
86.65.5
75.280.7
Auto7.3
Teleop34.6
End44.8
Second
2190
#33
63.42.6
66.063.4
Auto8.1
Teleop33.5
End21.9
red by 1.0
62.43.8
57.661.4
Auto5.5
Teleop25.1
End31.9
Third
3029
#38
37.22.6
39.837.2
Auto10.5
Teleop22.1
End4.6
blue by 23.0
5754
#27
60.25.1
55.160.2
Auto6.5
Teleop35.3
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed