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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Texas UIL State Championship
Red509
541795.0
148118.7
1477108.6
Blue445
1296129.0
336678.7
542799.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42833102006008001,000509445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
118.70.0
118.7→118.7
Auto19.0
Teleop59.5
End40.2
blue by 10.4
1296
#19
129.00.0
129.0→129.0
Auto15.6
Teleop58.8
End54.6
Second
1477
#20
108.60.0
108.6→108.6
Auto11.3
Teleop54.1
End43.2
red by 8.7
5427
#11
99.90.0
99.9→99.9
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End35.6
Third
5417
#13
95.00.0
95.0→95.0
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End37.6
red by 16.2
3366
#8
78.70.0
78.7→78.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.0
End29.5