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Red300
596084.4
4063108.4
1477108.6
Blue362
613385.8
3310137.7
41891.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143340200400600800300362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#20
108.60.0
108.6108.6
Auto11.3
Teleop54.1
End43.2
blue by 29.1
137.70.0
137.7137.7
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
Second
108.40.0
108.4108.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.5
End51.7
red by 17.0
418
#21
91.30.0
91.391.3
Auto9.7
Teleop38.4
End43.2
Third
84.40.0
84.484.4
Auto7.6
Teleop41.6
End35.1
blue by 1.5
6133
#14
85.80.0
85.885.8
Auto11.5
Teleop38.6
End35.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds3%Pressure odds