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Semifinal 1-22017 Texas UIL State Championship
Red551
6547104.2
118146.4
3310137.7
Blue205
246893.8
4063108.4
41891.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4552880200400600800551205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
146.40.0
146.4→146.4
Auto31.4
Teleop68.5
End46.5
red by 38.0
4063
#6
108.40.0
108.4→108.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.5
End51.7
Second
3310
#2
137.70.0
137.7→137.7
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
red by 43.9
2468
#18
93.80.0
93.8→93.8
Auto15.4
Teleop50.5
End27.9
Third
6547
#10
104.20.0
104.2→104.2
Auto15.9
Teleop42.6
End45.7
red by 12.9
418
#21
91.30.0
91.3→91.3
Auto9.7
Teleop38.4
End43.2