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Red310
635754.6
2848117.4
3310122.4
Blue215
6133105.1
70491.0
374360.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317266100200400500600310215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.40.4
122.0122.4
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End56.8
red by 17.3
105.11.0
106.1105.1
Auto13.1
Teleop39.7
End52.3
Second
117.40.4
117.0117.4
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End45.6
red by 26.4
704
#5
91.01.0
92.091.0
Auto13.5
Teleop41.8
End35.6
Third
6357
#32
54.60.4
54.354.6
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End15.7
blue by 5.4
3743
#14
60.11.1
61.160.1
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End26.2