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Red165
181782.7
295091.4
441249.3
Blue145
337044.9
632143.2
433574.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2591640100200300400165145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#18
91.44.6
94.890.2
Auto12.3
Teleop36.6
End42.5
red by 17.4
4335
#27
74.02.3
76.374.0
Auto6.5
Teleop30.6
End36.9
Second
1817
#29
82.74.6
84.279.6
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End33.9
red by 37.8
3370
#40
44.91.9
46.944.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.9
End11.9
Third
4412
#16
49.35.6
54.949.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End11.8
red by 6.1
6321
#36
43.22.3
45.643.2
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed