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Red280
339063.1
44182.5
589298.9
Blue279
624105.6
541784.8
310379.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532950100200400500600700280279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#10
98.90.3
98.198.3
Auto10.7
Teleop49.1
End39.0
blue by 6.8
624
#11
105.60.4
106.5106.1
Auto16.8
Teleop51.5
End37.4
Second
441
#5
82.50.3
81.681.9
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End43.4
blue by 2.3
84.80.4
85.785.3
Auto9.0
Teleop47.4
End28.4
Third
3390
#21
63.10.3
62.262.5
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
blue by 16.6
3103
#17
79.70.5
80.780.2
Auto5.3
Teleop34.7
End39.6