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Red406
654794.1
3284112.3
584299.5
Blue255
288276.8
542799.9
288171.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336250100200300400500600406255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.30.0
112.6112.5
Auto15.3
Teleop48.6
End48.4
red by 12.4
99.90.2
99.699.7
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End35.6
Second
99.50.0
99.799.7
Auto16.9
Teleop45.0
End37.6
red by 22.7
2882
#13
76.80.2
76.476.6
Auto10.1
Teleop38.8
End27.8
Third
6547
#24
94.10.0
94.494.4
Auto12.5
Teleop43.2
End38.5
red by 22.5
2881
#16
71.60.2
71.371.5
Auto7.6
Teleop34.8
End29.2