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Red195
44182.5
524279.0
339063.1
Blue165
675440.9
624105.6
258545.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1852260100300400195165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
#5
82.51.5
64.566.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End43.4
blue by 23.1
624
#11
105.63.3
104.3101.1
Auto16.8
Teleop51.5
End37.4
Second
5242
#14
79.00.9
63.564.4
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End21.3
red by 33.3
2585
#32
45.65.4
57.351.8
Auto7.7
Teleop27.7
End10.3
Third
3390
#21
63.11.5
53.555.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
red by 22.2
6754
#31
40.95.4
47.341.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed