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Red170
437159.0
542799.9
258545.6
Blue185
664573.1
429560.9
665551.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091810100300400500170185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.92.0
85.083.0
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End35.6
red by 26.8
6645
#28
73.11.0
66.867.8
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End40.9
Second
4371
#22
59.02.0
56.154.1
Auto12.0
Teleop26.5
End20.5
blue by 1.9
4295
#23DQ
60.91.0
62.163.1
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End33.5
Third
2585
#32
45.63.1
53.950.8
Auto7.7
Teleop27.7
End10.3
blue by 5.7
6655
#20
51.30.6
46.847.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.4
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed