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Red275
23182.3
339063.1
582978.8
Blue145
675440.9
526139.9
258782.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233168050100200300350400275145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#19
82.34.1
92.296.4
Auto9.8
Teleop45.5
End27.0
blue by 0.2
82.51.6
84.783.2
Auto9.7
Teleop46.4
End26.5
Second
5829
#15
78.84.1
70.574.7
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End26.8
red by 37.9
6754
#31
40.92.4
43.240.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End12.5
Third
3390
#21
63.16.0
50.456.3
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
red by 23.2
5261
#33
39.92.3
40.638.3
Auto6.5
Teleop27.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed