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Red280
288276.8
2992121.4
582978.8
Blue159
23182.3
3284112.3
258545.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296271100150200250350400450500280159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.41.5
123.0121.4
Auto18.5
Teleop54.8
End48.0
red by 9.0
112.36.8
119.4112.6
Auto15.3
Teleop48.6
End48.4
Second
5829
#15
78.81.5
80.378.7
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End26.8
blue by 3.5
231
#19
82.36.8
87.881.0
Auto9.8
Teleop45.5
End27.0
Third
2882
#13
76.82.1
75.072.9
Auto10.1
Teleop38.8
End27.8
red by 31.1
2585
#32
45.68.3
54.045.6
Auto7.7
Teleop27.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed