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Red200
589298.9
541784.8
310379.7
Blue135
664573.1
339063.1
354567.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341210200300400500200135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#10
98.90.7
69.468.7
Auto10.7
Teleop49.1
End39.0
red by 25.8
6645
#28
73.132.7
73.140.4
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End40.9
Second
84.80.5
81.881.3
Auto9.0
Teleop47.4
End28.4
red by 17.8
3545
#25
67.00.5
46.947.5
Auto9.2
Teleop39.5
End18.2
Third
3103
#17
79.70.8
56.155.2
Auto5.3
Teleop34.7
End39.6
red by 16.6
3390
#21
63.10.5
43.343.9
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed