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Red452
437159.0
1255116.6
148105.2
Blue269
624105.6
541784.8
310379.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299291350400450452269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.61.6
116.8118.4
Auto13.0
Teleop51.4
End52.2
red by 11.0
624
#11
105.60.8
107.5106.6
Auto16.8
Teleop51.5
End37.4
Second
148
#12
105.21.6
105.4107.0
Auto20.2
Teleop50.8
End34.2
red by 20.4
84.80.8
86.685.8
Auto9.0
Teleop47.4
End28.4
Third
4371
#22
59.01.6
59.260.7
Auto12.0
Teleop26.5
End20.5
blue by 20.7
3103
#17
79.70.9
81.780.8
Auto5.3
Teleop34.7
End39.6