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Red279
133967.8
66296.6
1619104.6
Blue319
207388.9
987141.4
641161.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281309100200400500279319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#13
104.60.4
105.0104.6
Auto16.6
Teleop55.5
End32.5
blue by 36.8
987
#3
141.40.7
140.7141.4
Auto21.2
Teleop56.2
End64.0
Second
662
#1
96.60.4
97.196.6
Auto13.2
Teleop35.1
End48.4
red by 7.7
2073
#12
88.90.7
88.288.9
Auto8.2
Teleop30.9
End49.8
Third
1339
#34
67.80.4
68.367.8
Auto7.8
Teleop25.4
End34.7
red by 6.5
6411
#22
61.30.7
60.761.3
Auto6.7
Teleop36.1
End18.6