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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Utah Regional
Red308
133967.8
66296.6
1619104.6
Blue190
337454.8
433496.9
462770.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282229100150200250300350400308190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#13
104.61.3
101.6→102.9
Auto16.6
Teleop55.5
End32.5
red by 7.6
4334
#8
96.90.9
97.9→96.9
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End37.3
Second
662
#1
96.61.3
93.6→94.9
Auto13.2
Teleop35.1
End48.4
red by 26.4
4627
#15
70.20.9
71.2→70.2
Auto3.6
Teleop35.5
End31.1
Third
1339
#34
67.81.3
64.8→66.1
Auto7.8
Teleop25.4
End34.7
red by 13.0
3374
#41
54.80.9
55.7→54.8
Auto3.3
Teleop21.1
End30.4