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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Utah Regional
Red311
324581.5
2122100.5
300675.5
Blue220
299378.8
323079.3
494463.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267239100150200300350400450311220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#4
100.51.7
97.9→99.5
Auto12.2
Teleop50.2
End38.1
red by 21.2
3230
#5
79.31.0
82.4→81.5
Auto8.5
Teleop27.6
End43.1
Second
3245
#33
81.51.7
78.8→80.5
Auto10.7
Teleop33.9
End36.9
red by 2.7
2993
#19
78.81.0
81.9→81.0
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End41.0
Third
3006
#20
75.51.7
72.8→74.5
Auto7.1
Teleop26.2
End42.3
red by 12.1
4944
#10
63.41.0
66.5→65.6
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End26.8