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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Utah Regional
Red238
324581.5
2122100.5
300675.5
Blue148
299378.8
323079.3
494463.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274235100150200300350400450238148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#4
100.50.4
99.5→99.1
Auto12.2
Teleop50.2
End38.1
red by 21.2
3230
#5
79.32.2
81.5→79.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.6
End43.1
Second
3245
#33
81.50.4
80.5→80.1
Auto10.7
Teleop33.9
End36.9
red by 2.7
2993
#19
78.82.2
81.0→78.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End41.0
Third
3006
#20
75.50.4
74.5→74.1
Auto7.1
Teleop26.2
End42.3
red by 12.1
4944
#10
63.42.2
65.6→63.4
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End26.8