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Red290
84685.9
429346.4
459873.5
Blue280
299378.8
593360.5
645741.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061450100300400500290280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#14
85.97.5
78.485.9
Auto11.6
Teleop32.8
End41.5
red by 7.1
2993
#19
78.88.1
68.876.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End41.0
Second
73.57.5
69.276.7
Auto5.1
Teleop29.7
End38.6
red by 13.0
5933
#35
60.58.1
47.655.7
Auto7.3
Teleop33.3
End19.9
Third
4293
#27
46.47.5
39.547.0
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End22.0
red by 5.0
6457
#38
41.58.1
29.637.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed