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Red215
349456.6
54088.8
58769.1
Blue271
335959.5
325860.8
108676.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331900100300400500215271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#1
88.81.8
88.987.0
Auto5.7
Teleop43.4
End39.7
red by 11.9
1086
#12
76.91.6
73.274.8
Auto7.0
Teleop28.5
End41.4
Second
587
#3
69.12.0
69.267.2
Auto2.4
Teleop40.5
End26.1
red by 8.3
60.81.8
56.858.6
Auto5.4
Teleop25.6
End29.9
Third
3494
#18
56.62.0
56.754.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.8
End23.2
blue by 2.9
3359
#26
59.51.6
55.957.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.1
End28.4