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Red285
632634.5
83679.4
159879.9
Blue165
527960.2
450555.1
289054.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19016650100250300350400285165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#14
79.92.9
74.277.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End45.8
red by 19.7
60.20.1
57.357.4
Auto8.8
Teleop22.2
End29.2
Second
836
#5
79.42.9
73.876.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.7
End44.7
red by 24.3
55.10.1
52.552.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End14.3
Third
6326
#21
34.52.9
28.831.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End8.3
blue by 19.7
2890
#24
54.10.1
51.251.3
Auto6.7
Teleop27.3
End20.0