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Red140
325860.8
108676.9
126277.5
Blue100
141354.6
61958.3
336136.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173115050150200250300350400140100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#15
77.51.8
60.658.8
Auto11.4
Teleop37.4
End28.7
red by 19.1
619
#30
58.32.0
39.137.1
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End26.3
Second
1086
#12
76.91.8
59.057.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.5
End41.4
red by 22.3
1413
#25
54.62.0
44.942.9
Auto4.2
Teleop30.9
End19.5
Third
60.81.8
37.035.2
Auto5.4
Teleop25.6
End29.9
red by 24.0
3361
#28
36.82.0
33.831.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed