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Red255
595766.8
1885122.0
384113.0
Blue306
1598100.7
126299.6
527972.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326275150200250300350400450500255306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.01.0
122.0121.0
Auto13.5
Teleop52.8
End55.8
red by 21.3
100.70.8
99.199.9
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
Second
384
#11
113.01.0
113.0112.0
Auto10.9
Teleop58.0
End44.1
red by 13.5
99.60.8
97.998.8
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
Third
5957
#35
66.81.0
66.865.8
Auto6.8
Teleop32.0
End28.1
blue by 5.7
5279
#26
72.60.8
70.971.8
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4