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Red310
595766.8
1885122.0
384113.0
Blue285
595093.6
327478.1
554691.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326268100200300400500310285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.00.1
121.6121.7
Auto13.5
Teleop52.8
End55.8
red by 28.4
5950
#16
93.60.5
93.093.6
Auto6.5
Teleop39.8
End47.2
Second
384
#11
113.00.1
112.7112.8
Auto10.9
Teleop58.0
End44.1
red by 21.1
5546
#18
91.90.5
91.491.9
Auto10.4
Teleop38.1
End43.4
Third
5957
#35
66.80.1
66.566.6
Auto6.8
Teleop32.0
End28.1
blue by 11.3
78.10.5
77.678.1
Auto6.9
Teleop36.8
End34.4