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Red287
34689.6
179376.0
108087.6
Blue315
580493.0
633483.1
97780.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269269280290300287315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#17
89.60.7
90.391.0
Auto8.5
Teleop43.4
End37.7
blue by 3.4
5804
#15
93.00.7
92.693.2
Auto6.2
Teleop31.3
End55.5
Second
1080
#13
87.60.7
88.389.0
Auto10.4
Teleop42.0
End35.1
red by 4.5
83.10.7
82.783.3
Auto10.2
Teleop43.0
End29.9
Third
76.00.7
76.777.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End37.8
blue by 4.4
977
#12
80.30.7
79.980.6
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End35.7